VIDEO: Data Doesn’t Match Doomsday Media Predictions, Ventilator Concerns, Task Force Doctor Says

MARCH 27, 2020

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As the most reliable and balanced news aggregation service on the internet, DML News App offers the following information published by TheHill.com:

White House coronavirus task force coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx cautioned Thursday against models that predict alarming increases in coronavirus infections and deaths in the U.S.

Birx, speaking at a White House press briefing, singled out a recent study on the United Kingdom that originally predicted 500,000 people would die from the virus and has since been revised down to predict 20,000 deaths in the U.K. She said the data the government has collected does not show that 20 percent of the U.S. population would be infected with COVID-19, cautioning against predictions that say so.

The article goes on to state the following:

“When people start talking about 20 percent of a population getting infected, it is very scary but we don’t have data that matches that based on the experience,” Birx said.

Dr. Brix said:

“I’m going to say something that is a little bit complicated but do it in a way we can understand it together. In the model, either you have to have a large group of people who are a-asymptomatic, who never presented for any test to have the kind of numbers predicted.

“To get to 60 million people infected, you have to have a large group of a-symptomatic [patients]. We have not seen an attack rate over 1 in 1,000. So either we are measuring the iceberg and underneath it are a large group of people — so we are working hard to get the antibody test and figure out who these people are and do they exist — or we have the transmission completely wrong.

“So these are the things we are looking at because the predictions of the model don’t match the reality on the ground in China, South Korea or Italy.

“We are five times the size of Italy. If we were Italy and did all those divisions, Italy should have close to 400,000 deaths. They are not close to achieving that.”

“Models are models,” Dr. Birx went on. “So when people start talking about 20% of a population getting infected, it’s very scary, but we don’t have data that matches that based on our experience.”

Dr. Birx went on, addressing reports about a lack of ventilators.

“And the situation about ventilators,” Dr. Birx said. “We are reassured in meeting with our colleagues in New York that there are still I.C.U. Beds remaining and still significant — over 1,000 or 2,000 ventilators that have not been utilized.”

Dr. Birx addressed alarming reports about “Do Not Resuscitate” policies being discussed in major hospitals.

“Please for the reassurance of people around the world, to wake up this morning and look at people talking about creating DNR situations, Do Not Resuscitate situations for patients, there is no situation in the United States right now that warrants that kind of discussion,” Dr. Birx said. “You can be thinking about it in the hospital. Certainly, hospitals talk about this on a daily basis, but to say that to the American people and make the implication that when they need a hospital bed it’s not going to be there or a ventilator, it’s not going to be there, we don’t have evidence of that.”

Dr. Birx then made an appeal to the media over their reporting.

“It’s our job collectively to assure the American people,” she said. “You can see the cases are concentrated in highly urban areas and there are other parts of the states that have lots of ventilators and other parts of New York state that don’t have any infected. We can meet the needs by being responsive.

“There is no model right now — no reality on the ground where we can see that 60% to 70% of Americans are going to get infected in the next eight to 12 weeks. I want to be clear about that. We are adapting to the reality on the ground and looking at the models of how they can inform but learning from South Korea and Italy and from Spain and I know you will look up my numbers.”

Meanwhile, CNN reports:

New York state has approved technology that allows two patients to share a single ventilator, in an effort to address a desperate need as the number of coronavirus patients in the state rocketed past 37,000.

Gov. Andrew Cuomo on Thursday referred to the method as “splitting” and said it involves adding a second set of tubes to a ventilator.

“It’s not ideal,” Cuomo said, “but we believe it’s workable.”

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